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The rules have been updated, effective immediately. Please review them. Specifically rules 6, 7, and 8 have changed or been added, and two guidelines have been removed.
Updated again to ban political ideology and imagery completely.

File: 1546238754640.jpg (433.08 KB, 1920x1080, HKnight.jpg)

 No.19702

Realistically, where do you see the world ten years from now? What events will define the 2020's? Will the cultural shift be as intense as 2009 to 2019? From another perspective, where do you see yourself 10 years from now? Do you feel that your lifestyle or standard of living may change?

 No.19708

File: 1546259164732.jpg (226.27 KB, 850x645, __original_drawn_by_ymr__s….jpg)

Honesty, I don't think things will be that different. Ten years isn't that much. Technology will be more advanced then, but it's hard to gauge by how much. I say that'll only start seriously affecting daily life twenty years from now. The last thing to really change average people's lives has been smartphones, and there's little immediate room for that grow. Social media is influential, but it's just a fad. It's not actually innovative and hopefully people will lose interest in it soon enough. Shitty countries will be even less different. You could define the 2020s in lots of ways. The 80s are defined by pop-culture by neon colors and spandex, but everyone knows that's an extreme simplification. Maybe spic pop will overtake rap as the hip genre, but that's not too interesting.

As for, "cultural shift", i've got nonclue. Whether it dies down or explodes into conflict is hard to say. Maybe it depends on how well the government can control the public. Advanced crowd control makes that hard to predict. I don't see liberalism stopping anytime soon. It's like a train barreling either towards a cliff or a rock wall. Black people be black n shiet, so nothing will change with them except maybe how much money they're given.

I think Ai, robotics, and genetic science will advance the most. Boston dynamics is going to start selling spot minis to the public in 2019. Military usage of robots will probably become more pronounced. Perhaps that'll once again create a very staggering gap between first and third world military powers like when machine guns were invented, making guerrilla fighting ineffective. Drones have already started doing this. Unless a major natural disaster or world war starts, I don't see bigger changes than that happening.

If everything goes well, i'll be working on my post grad. Hopefully my lifestyle wont be worse than it is now.

 No.19709

File: 1546260191552.jpg (256.03 KB, 850x1202, __sawai_natsuha_monobeno_d….jpg)

>>19708
Well actually, I guess China will get an even bigger foothold in Africa since they're basically colonizing it now. It's their turn with the blacks after Arabs and whites. Who knows how much use they'll get out of the actual people there and not just the land though.

Internet censorship will drive a bigger wedge between the normalfag and old internet. Regardless of what happens with that, people will still have places unmediated by corporations to communicate. Make sure to keep up with that so as to not get left behind. More closed off channels will surely gain in popularity. Expect greater invasions into your privacy in general.

Space stuff is advancing at a snail's pace, so don't except anything from that anytime soon except that mars colony. Who knows how well that'll go. China is the biggest general threat to the US, so maybe there'll be more open conflict between them.

 No.19715

The best way to get an idea of what things will look like 10 years from now would probably be to look back at what things were like 10 years ago and how thats different from where we are today.

 No.19722

>>19708
I think we'll see another AI winter soon. Most of the low hanging fruit is gone and we'll need to rethink strategies to get from the current gen of "function approximator" neural nets to something that can actually do general human-style learning

 No.19723

File: 1546472438632.jpg (184.22 KB, 850x583, __iwakura_lain_serial_expe….jpg)

>>19722
I don't know much about computers, but from what I've read, the course that's going to be taken towards human style thought will be through progressively more powerful hardware.
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/technology/10567942/Supercomputer-models-one-second-of-human-brain-activity.html
Is there some difference between this and more accurate, "strategies"? Would something better than function approximation be possible on a run-of-the-mill house computer?

 No.19724

File: 1546482331666.jpg (250.08 KB, 1280x720, lookatcomputerenergized.jpg)

>>19723
As far as I understand it, "neural networks" are only superficially similar to how our brain works. They were modeled/inspired by how neurons connect to each other in layers, but beyond that we don't really know if our human brain does anything similar to backprop. Moreover, the structure of the brain changes over time, whereas currently artifical neural networks maintain a fixed topology. I think we also don't really have much information on how exactly our own neurons connect to/influence each other - this is an area of research that's still ongoing (connectome).

Even breakthroughs in recurrent learning such as AlphaZero ultimately come down to learning a way to efficiently do tree search to maximize a defined objective. The issue is that the techniques we have are only feasible when we can write down nice closed objectives to maximize or minimize. One aspect ascribed to "general AI" is the ability to dynamically reason, which will probably require some way for it to come up with/discover its own objectives. Given this, progress towards the sort of general AI that we see in movies and could feasibly mimic humans will probably first require some understanding of how our connectome works.

This is also my own personal opinion but I think there also needs to be some fundamental shift in our architecture (both computer hardware as well as the way we currently build/train networks) to enable it. The fact that we're throwing kilowatts of power to train networks while the human brain can do it in just dozens of watts to me feels like we're trying to brute force our way there and there ought to be some other more elegant, simpler approach that will also simultaneously solve the power consumption issue.

 No.19725

File: 1546485485030.jpg (126.33 KB, 850x1200, __amatsukaze_and_rensouhou….jpg)

>>19724
In terms of "hardware", humans are far more complex than machines. I wouldn't say how we do it could be considered, "elegant", considering how we need a walking chemical plant, frequent bio-mass intake, and daily eight hour down times for maintenance and data uploading. Maybe that's the only way of doing it besides brute forcing, maybe it's not and humans can come up with something even better. People focus the most on our brains, but from a bilogical standpoint, our genitalia is the most important. Our brains are just here because they help us figure out how to live long enough to use them.

 No.19726

>>19723
True Turing AI is probably not going to happen any soon. At best, Cleverbot gets marginally better. At worst, nothing at all happens. As it stands right now, AI is a total meme and it's the same as "the cloud" (rebranding stuff everyone had for a decade under buzzwords to appeal to investors) has been for the last few years.

 No.19727

File: 1546497767341.png (535.18 KB, 800x769, __chun_li_and_el_fuerte_st….png)

>>19708
I know politics make for shitty conversation and all, but just look at that Bronx chick's, "green new deal". It's hilarious.
https://news.grabien.com/story-ocasio-cortezs-green-new-deal-radical-mandate-government-con

 No.20368

>>19726
AI isn't a meme like the cloud is. It doesn't take a artificial general intelligence to automate away a lot of jobs. Better neural nets can likely do that with more refinement.

 No.20562

File: 1592826314463.jpg (225.58 KB, 1200x559, 20200621.jpg)

2020 is a hell of year. Can we go back to a previous save-state?

 No.20564

File: 1592912569776.jpg (116.3 KB, 900x695, sf4.jpg)

>>20562
That would be nice

 No.20631

File: 1594429288667.jpg (69.76 KB, 676x168, ssf2x.jpg)

>>20564
Let's go back to the future…

 No.20653

File: 1594805219322.jpg (381.42 KB, 2949x981, 20200404.jpg)

>>20631
Back to the past?

 No.20668

File: 1595742353943-0.jpg (80.28 KB, 639x680, 20200726.jpg)

File: 1595742353944-1.jpg (296.13 KB, 1920x1080, 20200802.jpg)

>>20562
>>20631
Save state and reload!

 No.20760

File: 1598083778556-0.jpg (104.34 KB, 903x419, 20200906.jpg)

File: 1598083778556-1.jpg (140.03 KB, 1080x596, 20200913.jpg)




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